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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

38%

Strasbourg

2.63

27%

Draw

3.66

35%

Monaco

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.84

1.38

Monaco xG

38%
27%
35%
StrasbourgDrawMonaco

2.63

38%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

25%

Strasbourg

3.99

23%

Monaco

4.29

Win to Nil

10%

Strasbourg

10.49

8%

Monaco

12.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 8.1 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 8.5 11.8 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.6 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 3.0 4.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.456
λ Away (xG) 1.383
Total xG 2.839
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Strasbourg attack strength 0.924
Strasbourg defence strength 0.979
Monaco attack strength 1.086
Monaco defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67