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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

51%

Strasbourg

1.96

27%

Draw

3.67

22%

Marseille

4.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.23

0.82

Marseille xG

51%
27%
22%
StrasbourgDrawMarseille

1.96

51%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

4.58

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

44%

Strasbourg

2.27

24%

Marseille

4.10

Win to Nil

22%

Strasbourg

4.47

5%

Marseille

18.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 8.8 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 15.1 12.4 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.7 8.8 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 5.0 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.411
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 2.232
League avg home goals 1.716
League avg away goals 1.198
Strasbourg attack strength 0.939
Strasbourg defence strength 0.803
Marseille attack strength 0.854
Marseille defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39