Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

37%

Strasbourg

2.69

26%

Draw

3.82

37%

Lyon

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.63

1.31

Lyon xG

37%
26%
37%
StrasbourgDrawLyon

2.69

37%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

27%

Strasbourg

3.71

27%

Lyon

3.75

Win to Nil

10%

Strasbourg

9.99

10%

Lyon

10.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.4 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.5 12.5 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.2 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.8 3.6 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 1.311
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.226
Strasbourg attack strength 0.988
Strasbourg defence strength 0.914
Lyon attack strength 1.170
Lyon defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56