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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

39%

Strasbourg

2.58

27%

Draw

3.72

34%

Lyon

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.74

1.32

Lyon xG

39%
27%
34%
StrasbourgDrawLyon

2.58

39%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

27%

Strasbourg

3.76

24%

Lyon

4.13

Win to Nil

10%

Strasbourg

9.71

8%

Lyon

12.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.5 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.1 12.1 8.0 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.6 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.418
λ Away (xG) 1.324
Total xG 2.742
League avg home goals 1.468
League avg away goals 1.373
Strasbourg attack strength 1.053
Strasbourg defence strength 0.797
Lyon attack strength 1.210
Lyon defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60