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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

78%

Strasbourg

1.29

15%

Draw

6.56

7%

Lorient

14.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

3 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.91

0.55

Lorient xG

78%
15%
StrasbourgDrawLorient

1.29

78%

Home win

6.56

15%

Draw

14.37

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.60

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

58%

Strasbourg

1.74

9%

Lorient

10.53

Win to Nil

45%

Strasbourg

2.23

1%

Lorient

151.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 12.9 7.1 2.0 0.4
2 15.2 8.4 2.3 0.4 0.1
3 11.9 6.6 1.8 0.3
4 7.0 3.9 1.1 0.2
5 3.3 1.8 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.354
λ Away (xG) 0.552
Total xG 2.906
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.147
Strasbourg attack strength 1.160
Strasbourg defence strength 0.846
Lorient attack strength 0.569
Lorient defence strength 1.230
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 15