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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 5 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

57%

Strasbourg

1.76

24%

Draw

4.17

19%

Auxerre

5.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

3.12

1.11

Auxerre xG

57%
24%
19%
StrasbourgDrawAuxerre

1.76

57%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

5.24

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

33%

Strasbourg

3.03

13%

Auxerre

7.48

Win to Nil

19%

Strasbourg

5.32

3%

Auxerre

39.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 4.9 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.9 9.8 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.0 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.0 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.012
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 3.120
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.298
Strasbourg attack strength 0.984
Strasbourg defence strength 0.942
Auxerre attack strength 0.907
Auxerre defence strength 1.339
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 15