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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

36%

Stade Brestois 29

2.80

28%

Draw

3.60

37%

Toulouse

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.39

1.20

Toulouse xG

36%
28%
37%
Stade Brestois 29DrawToulouse

2.80

36%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

30%

Stade Brestois 29

3.33

31%

Toulouse

3.27

Win to Nil

11%

Stade Brestois 29

9.34

11%

Toulouse

8.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 11.0 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.9 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 1.204
Total xG 2.389
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.256
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.953
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.923
Toulouse attack strength 1.038
Toulouse defence strength 0.823
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52