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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

60%

Stade Brestois 29

1.67

22%

Draw

4.49

18%

Reims

5.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.93

0.98

Reims xG

60%
22%
18%
Stade Brestois 29DrawReims

1.67

60%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

5.56

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

38%

Stade Brestois 29

2.66

14%

Reims

7.05

Win to Nil

22%

Stade Brestois 29

4.45

3%

Reims

39.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.4 10.2 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.6 6.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
4 3.2 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.953
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 2.930
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.384
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.218
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.011
Reims attack strength 0.698
Reims defence strength 1.080
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59