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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

48%

Stade Brestois 29

2.08

22%

Draw

4.47

29%

Nice

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.32

1.44

Nice xG

48%
22%
29%
Stade Brestois 29DrawNice

2.08

48%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

24%

Stade Brestois 29

4.20

15%

Nice

6.57

Win to Nil

11%

Stade Brestois 29

8.72

4%

Nice

22.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.2 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 6.8 9.8 7.0 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
3 4.0 5.8 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.883
λ Away (xG) 1.435
Total xG 3.318
League avg home goals 1.665
League avg away goals 1.238
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.010
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.145
Nice attack strength 1.013
Nice defence strength 1.119
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38