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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

39%

Stade Brestois 29

2.55

22%

Draw

4.46

38%

Lyon

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.46

1.72

Lyon xG

39%
22%
38%
Stade Brestois 29DrawLyon

2.55

39%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.10

Clean Sheet

18%

Stade Brestois 29

5.60

18%

Lyon

5.70

Win to Nil

7%

Stade Brestois 29

14.28

7%

Lyon

14.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 5.4 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.4
1 5.5 9.4 8.1 4.6 2.0 0.7
2 4.7 8.2 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.8 4.7 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.3
4 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.741
λ Away (xG) 1.722
Total xG 3.463
League avg home goals 1.683
League avg away goals 1.223
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.969
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.147
Lyon attack strength 1.228
Lyon defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44