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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

43%

Stade Brestois 29

2.33

27%

Draw

3.67

30%

Lyon

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.89

1.30

Lyon xG

43%
27%
30%
Stade Brestois 29DrawLyon

2.33

43%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

27%

Stade Brestois 29

3.67

20%

Lyon

4.93

Win to Nil

12%

Stade Brestois 29

8.53

6%

Lyon

16.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.2 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.8 11.5 7.4 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.1 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 4.9 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.595
λ Away (xG) 1.299
Total xG 2.894
League avg home goals 1.565
League avg away goals 1.264
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.166
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.901
Lyon attack strength 1.141
Lyon defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50