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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

40%

Stade Brestois 29

2.47

28%

Draw

3.53

31%

Lorient

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.28

1.05

Lorient xG

40%
28%
31%
Stade Brestois 29DrawLorient

2.47

40%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

35%

Stade Brestois 29

2.85

29%

Lorient

3.44

Win to Nil

14%

Stade Brestois 29

7.04

9%

Lorient

11.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.7 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.6 13.2 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.8 8.2 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.236
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.283
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.253
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.901
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.990
Lorient attack strength 0.844
Lorient defence strength 0.928
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 20