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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

68%

Stade Brestois 29

1.47

19%

Draw

5.37

13%

Auxerre

7.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

2 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.79

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

4.03

1.25

Auxerre xG

68%
19%
13%
Stade Brestois 29DrawAuxerre

1.47

68%

Home win

5.37

19%

Draw

7.57

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

57%

Over 3.5

1.75

43%

Under 3.5

2.33

38%

Over 4.5

2.63

62%

Under 4.5

1.61

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.15

Clean Sheet

29%

Stade Brestois 29

3.48

6%

Auxerre

16.23

Win to Nil

20%

Stade Brestois 29

5.10

1%

Auxerre

122.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 4.9 6.2 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
2 6.9 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.4 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2
4 4.5 5.6 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.787
λ Away (xG) 1.246
Total xG 4.033
League avg home goals 1.518
League avg away goals 1.306
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.233
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.124
Auxerre attack strength 0.849
Auxerre defence strength 1.489
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 21