Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

23%

Saint Etienne

4.40

22%

Draw

4.51

55%

Toulouse

1.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.25

2.01

Toulouse xG

23%
22%
55%
Saint EtienneDrawToulouse

4.40

23%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

1.81

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

13%

Saint Etienne

7.49

29%

Toulouse

3.43

Win to Nil

3%

Saint Etienne

32.95

16%

Toulouse

6.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 7.8 7.9 5.3 2.7 1.1
1 4.8 9.7 9.7 6.5 3.3 1.3
2 3.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.8
3 1.2 2.5 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.234
λ Away (xG) 2.014
Total xG 3.248
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.390
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.965
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.488
Toulouse attack strength 0.974
Toulouse defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 67