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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

22%

Saint Etienne

4.48

20%

Draw

4.89

57%

Stade Brestois 29

1.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

0 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.45

2.16

Stade Brestois 29 xG

22%
20%
57%
Saint EtienneDrawStade Brestois 29

4.48

22%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

1.75

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

12%

Saint Etienne

8.67

27%

Stade Brestois 29

3.64

Win to Nil

3%

Saint Etienne

38.81

16%

Stade Brestois 29

6.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 6.8 7.4 5.3 2.9 1.2
1 4.1 8.8 9.5 6.9 3.7 1.6
2 2.6 5.7 6.2 4.4 2.4 1.0
3 1.1 2.5 2.7 1.9 1.0 0.4
4 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.293
λ Away (xG) 2.160
Total xG 3.453
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.411
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.878
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.474
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.038
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62