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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Fri 15 May 2026

19:30

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

50%

Saint Etienne

2.01

26%

Draw

3.84

24%

Rodez

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

2.84

1.13

Rodez xG

50%
26%
24%
Saint EtienneDrawRodez

2.01

50%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

32%

Saint Etienne

3.10

18%

Rodez

5.52

Win to Nil

16%

Saint Etienne

6.23

4%

Rodez

22.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.3 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.6 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.9 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.709
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.841
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.010
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.025
Rodez attack strength 0.850
Rodez defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0