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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

45%

Saint Etienne

2.20

30%

Draw

3.35

25%

Rennes

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

2.74

1.14

Rennes xG

45%
30%
25%
Saint EtienneDrawRennes

2.20

45%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

32%

Saint Etienne

3.14

20%

Rennes

4.93

Win to Nil

14%

Saint Etienne

6.91

5%

Rennes

19.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 11.8 6.7 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.4 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.4 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.596
λ Away (xG) 1.143
Total xG 2.739
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.307
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.871
Saint Etienne defence strength 0.964
Rennes attack strength 0.907
Rennes defence strength 1.216
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 54