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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reims Win

27%

Saint Etienne

3.74

33%

Draw

3.07

41%

Reims

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

2.14

1.21

Reims xG

27%
33%
41%
Saint EtienneDrawReims

3.74

27%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

30%

Saint Etienne

3.34

39%

Reims

2.54

Win to Nil

8%

Saint Etienne

12.48

16%

Reims

6.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 14.2 8.6 3.4 1.0 0.3
1 11.0 13.3 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 5.1 6.2 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.931
λ Away (xG) 1.205
Total xG 2.136
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.312
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.728
Saint Etienne defence strength 0.937
Reims attack strength 0.980
Reims defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49