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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

11%

Saint Etienne

9.43

15%

Draw

6.81

75%

Paris Saint Germain

1.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

8.2%

Away win

0 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

4.03

2.94

Paris Saint Germain xG

15%
75%
Saint EtienneDrawParis Saint Germain

9.43

11%

Home win

6.81

15%

Draw

1.34

75%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

57%

Over 3.5

1.75

43%

Under 3.5

2.33

38%

Over 4.5

2.63

62%

Under 4.5

1.61

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

5%

Saint Etienne

18.92

34%

Paris Saint Germain

2.96

Win to Nil

1%

Saint Etienne

178.45

25%

Paris Saint Germain

3.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8 5.3 7.7 7.6 5.6 3.3
1 1.9 5.7 8.4 8.2 6.0 3.5
2 1.1 3.1 4.5 4.5 3.3 1.9
3 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.7
4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.085
λ Away (xG) 2.940
Total xG 4.025
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.373
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.859
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.298
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.650
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 60