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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

29%

Saint Etienne

3.46

26%

Draw

3.91

45%

Nice

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.27

1.83

Nice xG

29%
26%
45%
Saint EtienneDrawNice

3.46

29%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.20

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.53

34%

BTTS No

2.90

Clean Sheet

16%

Saint Etienne

6.25

24%

Nice

4.22

Win to Nil

5%

Saint Etienne

21.61

11%

Nice

9.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.0 6.4 3.9 1.8 0.7
1 5.5 10.0 9.2 5.6 2.6 0.9
2 3.9 7.2 6.6 4.0 1.8 0.7
3 1.9 3.5 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.439
λ Away (xG) 1.833
Total xG 3.272
League avg home goals 1.566
League avg away goals 1.340
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.863
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.220
Nice attack strength 1.122
Nice defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57