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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

19%

Saint Etienne

5.31

17%

Draw

5.97

64%

Lyon

1.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

7.4%

Away win

2 – 2

6.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

4.32

2.80

Lyon xG

19%
17%
64%
Saint EtienneDrawLyon

5.31

19%

Home win

5.97

17%

Draw

1.55

64%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

63%

Over 3.5

1.59

37%

Under 3.5

2.70

43%

Over 4.5

2.33

57%

Under 4.5

1.75

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.36

27%

BTTS No

3.75

Clean Sheet

6%

Saint Etienne

16.49

22%

Lyon

4.55

Win to Nil

1%

Saint Etienne

87.50

14%

Lyon

7.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3 3.7 5.2 4.9 3.4 1.9
1 2.0 5.7 7.9 7.4 5.2 2.9
2 1.5 4.3 6.0 5.6 3.9 2.2
3 0.8 2.2 3.0 2.8 2.0 1.1
4 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.4
5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.516
λ Away (xG) 2.803
Total xG 4.319
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.442
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.974
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.498
Lyon attack strength 1.297
Lyon defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63