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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

30%

Saint Etienne

3.29

35%

Draw

2.83

34%

Angers

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

1.91

0.99

Angers xG

30%
35%
34%
Saint EtienneDrawAngers

3.29

30%

Home win

2.83

35%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

37%

Saint Etienne

2.70

40%

Angers

2.51

Win to Nil

11%

Saint Etienne

8.87

14%

Angers

7.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.8 14.7 7.3 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.6 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 6.3 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.920
λ Away (xG) 0.992
Total xG 1.912
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.330
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.739
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.048
Angers attack strength 0.712
Angers defence strength 0.821
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22