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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

53%

Rennes

1.90

30%

Draw

3.32

17%

Nantes

5.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.14

0.71

Nantes xG

53%
30%
17%
RennesDrawNantes

1.90

53%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

5.83

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

49%

Rennes

2.04

24%

Nantes

4.16

Win to Nil

26%

Rennes

3.87

4%

Nantes

24.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 8.4 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 16.8 12.0 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 12.0 8.5 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 5.7 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 0.712
Total xG 2.138
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.284
Rennes attack strength 0.981
Rennes defence strength 0.895
Nantes attack strength 0.620
Nantes defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64