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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

16:00

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

62%

Rennes

1.62

22%

Draw

4.63

17%

Lorient

5.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.81

0.89

Lorient xG

62%
22%
17%
RennesDrawLorient

1.62

62%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

5.97

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

41%

Rennes

2.43

15%

Lorient

6.85

Win to Nil

25%

Rennes

3.94

2%

Lorient

40.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.6 10.3 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.1 6.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.4 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.924
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.236
Rennes attack strength 1.190
Rennes defence strength 0.961
Lorient attack strength 0.747
Lorient defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18