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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

16:15

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

59%

Rennes

1.71

24%

Draw

4.15

17%

Auxerre

5.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.46

0.78

Auxerre xG

59%
24%
17%
RennesDrawAuxerre

1.71

59%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

5.78

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

46%

Rennes

2.19

19%

Auxerre

5.33

Win to Nil

27%

Rennes

3.73

3%

Auxerre

30.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 6.7 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.4 11.2 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 12.0 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.7 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 2.2 0.9 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.673
λ Away (xG) 0.782
Total xG 2.455
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.255
Rennes attack strength 0.940
Rennes defence strength 0.750
Auxerre attack strength 0.831
Auxerre defence strength 1.046
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41