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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

46%

Rennes

2.18

24%

Draw

4.10

30%

Auxerre

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.88

1.26

Auxerre xG

46%
24%
30%
RennesDrawAuxerre

2.18

46%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

28%

Rennes

3.52

20%

Auxerre

5.08

Win to Nil

13%

Rennes

7.67

6%

Auxerre

17.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.0 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.1 11.4 7.2 3.0 1.0 0.2
2 7.4 9.3 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.0 5.0 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.625
λ Away (xG) 1.259
Total xG 2.884
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.406
Rennes attack strength 0.912
Rennes defence strength 0.982
Auxerre attack strength 0.912
Auxerre defence strength 1.202
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 27