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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Rennes cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Angers.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Rennes beat Angers 2-0 at Roazhon Park, Regular Season - 15, in the Ligue 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rennes 1.38 xG and Angers 0.77 xG, a combined 2.16. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rennes attack 1.16 / defence 0.86 against Angers attack 0.71 / defence 0.80, drawn from 48/14 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rennes 50% | Draw 31% | Angers 19%, with Rennes to win its most likely call at 50%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rennes 56%, Angers 44%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Rennes's trading profile (48 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Angers's trading profile (48 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Rennes 1.25 PPG, Angers 1.58 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rennes win broke the near-deadlock. Rennes (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line. Angers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.21 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights