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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Auguste-Delaune

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

23%

Reims

4.32

24%

Draw

4.24

53%

Toulouse

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Reims xG

Total xG

2.81

1.75

Toulouse xG

23%
24%
53%
ReimsDrawToulouse

4.32

23%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

17%

Reims

5.73

34%

Toulouse

2.91

Win to Nil

4%

Reims

24.74

18%

Toulouse

5.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 10.5 9.1 5.3 2.3 0.8
1 6.4 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.4 6.0 5.2 3.0 1.3 0.5
3 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.069
λ Away (xG) 1.746
Total xG 2.815
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.438
Reims attack strength 0.769
Reims defence strength 1.050
Toulouse attack strength 1.157
Toulouse defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63