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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Auguste-Delaune

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reims Win

42%

Reims

2.40

26%

Draw

3.86

32%

Auxerre

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Reims xG

Total xG

2.95

1.37

Auxerre xG

42%
26%
32%
ReimsDrawAuxerre

2.40

42%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

25%

Reims

3.92

21%

Auxerre

4.85

Win to Nil

11%

Reims

9.40

7%

Auxerre

14.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 7.2 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.3 11.3 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.0 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.4 4.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.579
λ Away (xG) 1.367
Total xG 2.946
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.397
Reims attack strength 0.741
Reims defence strength 1.105
Auxerre attack strength 0.886
Auxerre defence strength 1.383
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24