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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

61%

Paris Saint Germain

1.63

20%

Draw

4.97

19%

Toulouse

5.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.25

1.10

Toulouse xG

61%
20%
19%
Paris Saint GermainDrawToulouse

1.63

61%

Home win

4.97

20%

Draw

5.40

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

33%

Paris Saint Germain

3.00

12%

Toulouse

8.60

Win to Nil

20%

Paris Saint Germain

4.90

2%

Toulouse

46.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 8.3 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 6.4 7.1 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.5 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.152
λ Away (xG) 1.100
Total xG 3.252
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.217
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.486
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.822
Toulouse attack strength 1.099
Toulouse defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 61