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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

88%

Paris Saint Germain

1.14

9%

Draw

11.39

4%

Saint Etienne

27.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

4 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.61

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

4.36

0.75

Saint Etienne xG

88%
Paris Saint GermainDrawSaint Etienne

1.14

88%

Home win

11.39

9%

Draw

27.62

4%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

81%

Over 2.5

1.23

19%

Under 2.5

5.26

63%

Over 3.5

1.59

37%

Under 3.5

2.70

44%

Over 4.5

2.27

56%

Under 4.5

1.79

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

47%

Paris Saint Germain

2.12

3%

Saint Etienne

36.82

Win to Nil

41%

Paris Saint Germain

2.42

0%

Saint Etienne

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
1 4.6 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 8.3 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
3 10.0 7.5 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 9.0 6.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
5 6.5 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.606
λ Away (xG) 0.751
Total xG 4.357
League avg home goals 1.564
League avg away goals 1.323
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.400
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.827
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.687
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.647
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 16