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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

20:05

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

56%

Paris Saint Germain

1.77

26%

Draw

3.89

18%

Reims

5.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

2 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.11

1.09

Reims xG

56%
26%
18%
Paris Saint GermainDrawReims

1.77

56%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

5.59

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

33%

Paris Saint Germain

2.99

13%

Reims

7.48

Win to Nil

19%

Paris Saint Germain

5.29

2%

Reims

41.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.9 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.0 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 6.1 6.7 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 3.1 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.012
λ Away (xG) 1.094
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.518
League avg away goals 1.295
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.328
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.860
Reims attack strength 0.983
Reims defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52