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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

72%

Paris Saint Germain

1.38

17%

Draw

5.90

11%

Paris FC

9.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.13

0.79

Paris FC xG

72%
17%
Paris Saint GermainDrawParis FC

1.38

72%

Home win

5.90

17%

Draw

9.28

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

46%

Paris Saint Germain

2.20

10%

Paris FC

10.46

Win to Nil

33%

Paris Saint Germain

3.04

1%

Paris FC

97.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.2 8.0 3.2 0.8 0.2
2 12.0 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 9.4 7.4 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 5.5 4.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
5 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.348
λ Away (xG) 0.787
Total xG 3.135
League avg home goals 1.542
League avg away goals 1.187
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.390
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.746
Paris FC attack strength 0.888
Paris FC defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 16