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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

56%

Paris Saint Germain

1.78

21%

Draw

4.75

23%

Nice

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.33

1.26

Nice xG

56%
21%
23%
Paris Saint GermainDrawNice

1.78

56%

Home win

4.75

21%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

28%

Paris Saint Germain

3.54

13%

Nice

7.94

Win to Nil

16%

Paris Saint Germain

6.31

3%

Nice

34.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 7.4 9.3 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 9.7 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.3 6.7 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 2.7 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.072
λ Away (xG) 1.263
Total xG 3.335
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.418
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.353
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.776
Nice attack strength 1.148
Nice defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64