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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

70%

Paris Saint Germain

1.43

19%

Draw

5.35

11%

Monaco

8.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.86

0.73

Monaco xG

70%
19%
Paris Saint GermainDrawMonaco

1.43

70%

Home win

5.35

19%

Draw

8.76

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.20

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

48%

Paris Saint Germain

2.07

12%

Monaco

8.46

Win to Nil

34%

Paris Saint Germain

2.96

1%

Monaco

74.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 8.9 3.2 0.8 0.1
2 13.0 9.5 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 9.3 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 4.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.135
λ Away (xG) 0.727
Total xG 2.862
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.176
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.532
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.627
Monaco attack strength 0.986
Monaco defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58