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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 19 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

59%

Paris Saint Germain

1.69

24%

Draw

4.19

17%

Lyon

5.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.98

0.99

Lyon xG

59%
24%
17%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLyon

1.69

59%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

5.94

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

37%

Paris Saint Germain

2.69

14%

Lyon

7.31

Win to Nil

22%

Paris Saint Germain

4.53

2%

Lyon

43.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.6 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.3 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.989
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.977
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.224
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.476
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.814
Lyon attack strength 0.992
Lyon defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 63