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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

16:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

70%

Paris Saint Germain

1.43

20%

Draw

5.05

10%

Lorient

9.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.27

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.06

0.79

Lorient xG

70%
20%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLorient

1.43

70%

Home win

5.05

20%

Draw

9.63

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

45%

Paris Saint Germain

2.20

10%

Lorient

9.68

Win to Nil

32%

Paris Saint Germain

3.15

1%

Lorient

93.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.7 8.4 3.3 0.9 0.2
2 12.1 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 9.1 7.2 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 5.2 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.270
λ Away (xG) 0.789
Total xG 3.059
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.295
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.418
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.822
Lorient attack strength 0.740
Lorient defence strength 1.076
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 31