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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

16:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

65%

Paris Saint Germain

1.55

18%

Draw

5.56

17%

Le Havre

5.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.6%

Home win

1 – 1

7.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.47

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.70

1.23

Le Havre xG

65%
18%
17%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLe Havre

1.55

65%

Home win

5.56

18%

Draw

5.75

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

29%

Paris Saint Germain

3.42

8%

Le Havre

11.87

Win to Nil

19%

Paris Saint Germain

5.29

1%

Le Havre

68.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 6.1 7.5 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 9.3 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.2 7.6 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 3.8 4.7 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.474
λ Away (xG) 1.229
Total xG 3.703
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.446
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.398
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.780
Le Havre attack strength 1.090
Le Havre defence strength 1.199
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 63