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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

20:05

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

63%

Paris Saint Germain

1.59

21%

Draw

4.77

16%

Auxerre

6.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.88

0.90

Auxerre xG

63%
21%
16%
Paris Saint GermainDrawAuxerre

1.59

63%

Home win

4.77

21%

Draw

6.18

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

41%

Paris Saint Germain

2.45

14%

Auxerre

7.31

Win to Nil

26%

Paris Saint Germain

3.89

2%

Auxerre

45.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.1
1 11.1 10.0 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.3 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.6 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.989
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 2.884
League avg home goals 1.737
League avg away goals 1.214
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.078
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.776
Auxerre attack strength 0.950
Auxerre defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39