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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

16:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

69%

Paris Saint Germain

1.45

19%

Draw

5.40

13%

Angers

7.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.18

0.89

Angers xG

69%
19%
13%
Paris Saint GermainDrawAngers

1.45

69%

Home win

5.40

19%

Draw

7.87

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

41%

Paris Saint Germain

2.42

10%

Angers

9.91

Win to Nil

28%

Paris Saint Germain

3.52

1%

Angers

78.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.5 8.5 3.7 1.1 0.2
2 11.0 9.7 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 8.4 7.4 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 4.8 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.294
λ Away (xG) 0.885
Total xG 3.179
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.427
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.495
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.839
Angers attack strength 0.739
Angers defence strength 1.024
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 27