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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

27%

Paris FC

3.74

25%

Draw

3.95

48%

Toulouse

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.65

1.56

Toulouse xG

27%
25%
48%
Paris FCDrawToulouse

3.74

27%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.90

48%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

21%

Paris FC

4.74

33%

Toulouse

2.99

Win to Nil

6%

Paris FC

17.73

16%

Toulouse

6.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 11.0 8.5 4.4 1.7 0.5
1 7.7 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.2 6.6 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.5 2.4 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.095
λ Away (xG) 1.556
Total xG 2.651
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.142
Paris FC attack strength 0.826
Paris FC defence strength 1.386
Toulouse attack strength 0.983
Toulouse defence strength 0.794
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49