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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

36%

Paris FC

2.75

24%

Draw

4.18

40%

Strasbourg

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Paris FC xG

Total xG

3.08

1.58

Strasbourg xG

36%
24%
40%
Paris FCDrawStrasbourg

2.75

36%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

21%

Paris FC

4.85

22%

Strasbourg

4.48

Win to Nil

7%

Paris FC

13.34

9%

Strasbourg

11.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 7.3 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.4
1 6.9 10.9 8.6 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.2 6.4 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 2.6 4.1 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.499
λ Away (xG) 1.578
Total xG 3.077
League avg home goals 1.715
League avg away goals 1.203
Paris FC attack strength 0.979
Paris FC defence strength 1.264
Strasbourg attack strength 1.038
Strasbourg defence strength 0.893
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 38