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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

29%

Paris FC

3.41

23%

Draw

4.43

48%

Nice

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Paris FC xG

Total xG

3.27

1.86

Nice xG

29%
23%
48%
Paris FCDrawNice

3.41

29%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

16%

Paris FC

6.42

24%

Nice

4.10

Win to Nil

5%

Paris FC

21.92

12%

Nice

8.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.1 6.6 4.1 1.9 0.7
1 5.4 10.0 9.3 5.7 2.7 1.0
2 3.8 7.0 6.5 4.1 1.9 0.7
3 1.8 3.3 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 1.860
Total xG 3.272
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.197
Paris FC attack strength 0.720
Paris FC defence strength 1.499
Nice attack strength 1.036
Nice defence strength 1.308
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57