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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

53%

Paris FC

1.89

24%

Draw

4.17

23%

Metz

4.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.75

1.04

Metz xG

53%
24%
23%
Paris FCDrawMetz

1.89

53%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

4.32

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

35%

Paris FC

2.84

18%

Metz

5.50

Win to Nil

19%

Paris FC

5.38

4%

Metz

23.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.4 5.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.704
λ Away (xG) 1.044
Total xG 2.748
League avg home goals 1.571
League avg away goals 1.282
Paris FC attack strength 0.861
Paris FC defence strength 1.150
Metz attack strength 0.708
Metz defence strength 1.260
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 2