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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

16:00

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

16%

Paris FC

6.33

19%

Draw

5.17

65%

Marseille

1.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Paris FC xG

Total xG

3.18

2.19

Marseille xG

16%
19%
65%
Paris FCDrawMarseille

6.33

16%

Home win

5.17

19%

Draw

1.54

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

11%

Paris FC

8.97

37%

Marseille

2.68

Win to Nil

2%

Paris FC

56.81

24%

Marseille

4.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 9.1 10.0 7.3 4.0 1.8
1 4.1 9.0 9.9 7.2 4.0 1.7
2 2.0 4.4 4.9 3.6 1.9 0.9
3 0.7 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.3
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.985
λ Away (xG) 2.194
Total xG 3.179
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.309
Paris FC attack strength 0.750
Paris FC defence strength 1.195
Marseille attack strength 1.402
Marseille defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 53