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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

22%

Paris FC

4.52

24%

Draw

4.08

53%

Lille

1.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Paris FC xG

Total xG

3.15

1.95

Lille xG

22%
24%
53%
Paris FCDrawLille

4.52

22%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

1.87

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

14%

Paris FC

6.99

30%

Lille

3.33

Win to Nil

3%

Paris FC

31.62

16%

Lille

6.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 8.3 8.1 5.3 2.6 1.0
1 5.2 10.0 9.8 6.3 3.1 1.2
2 3.1 6.0 5.9 3.8 1.9 0.7
3 1.2 2.4 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.3
4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.204
λ Away (xG) 1.945
Total xG 3.149
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.284
Paris FC attack strength 1.021
Paris FC defence strength 1.280
Lille attack strength 1.184
Lille defence strength 0.803
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 64