Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

20:05

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

48%

Nice

2.08

24%

Draw

4.17

28%

Toulouse

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Nice xG

Total xG

2.92

1.23

Toulouse xG

48%
24%
28%
NiceDrawToulouse

2.08

48%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

29%

Nice

3.42

19%

Toulouse

5.40

Win to Nil

14%

Nice

7.10

5%

Toulouse

19.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.7 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.1 11.2 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.5 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.3 5.3 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.687
λ Away (xG) 1.229
Total xG 2.916
League avg home goals 1.598
League avg away goals 1.319
Nice attack strength 1.125
Nice defence strength 0.891
Toulouse attack strength 1.046
Toulouse defence strength 0.938
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34