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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

45%

Nice

2.21

24%

Draw

4.16

31%

Strasbourg

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Nice xG

Total xG

2.98

1.32

Strasbourg xG

45%
24%
31%
NiceDrawStrasbourg

2.21

45%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

27%

Nice

3.76

19%

Strasbourg

5.22

Win to Nil

12%

Nice

8.33

6%

Strasbourg

16.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.7 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.4 11.1 7.4 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.2 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.653
λ Away (xG) 1.325
Total xG 2.978
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.181
Nice attack strength 0.954
Nice defence strength 1.142
Strasbourg attack strength 0.983
Strasbourg defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50