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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

50%

Nice

2.00

24%

Draw

4.20

26%

Stade Brestois 29

3.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Nice xG

Total xG

3.06

1.26

Stade Brestois 29 xG

50%
24%
26%
NiceDrawStade Brestois 29

2.00

50%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

3.81

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

28%

Nice

3.51

16%

Stade Brestois 29

6.09

Win to Nil

14%

Nice

7.04

4%

Stade Brestois 29

23.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 5.9 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 10.6 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 5.8 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.807
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 3.064
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.390
Nice attack strength 1.036
Nice defence strength 0.842
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.074
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.204
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67