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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Final

Kick-off

Fri 29 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

26%

Nice

3.90

29%

Draw

3.39

45%

Saint Etienne

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Nice xG

Total xG

2.51

1.46

Saint Etienne xG

26%
29%
45%
NiceDrawSaint Etienne

3.90

26%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

23%

Nice

4.31

35%

Saint Etienne

2.87

Win to Nil

6%

Nice

16.80

16%

Saint Etienne

6.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 11.8 8.6 4.2 1.5 0.4
1 8.5 12.5 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.5 6.6 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.2
3 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.053
λ Away (xG) 1.460
Total xG 2.513
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.328
Nice attack strength 0.721
Nice defence strength 1.103
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.997
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.006
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 34